Traders predict house prices will fall by 50% in four years!
London, England - June 9, 2008 - By
the end of this year prices will be down by 10% and by a further 10.5% in 2009,
according to the index. Prices will keep dropping through 2010 and cut values
by 23.5% when they hit rock bottom in 2011. House prices will then begin a slow
climb back to current market values over a period of about six years.
The slide in house prices will
continue for at least three years and crush the value of a home by almost 50%
in real terms, according to a key index of property price futures. Indications
from futures trading on long term property prices shows that the average UK
home will recover its current value only in 2017.
If an average retail price
inflation rate of 4% is included in the calculation and in addition the 8% drop
in prices over the last eight months already registered by the Halifax index,
the fall in values over almost four years will reach 47.5% in real terms.
The Liberal Democrat Treasury
spokesman, Lord Oakeshott, said the figures revealed that property investors
had little confidence in the market and were predicting steep and prolonged
falls in prices.
"This government says this housing depression
will be different from the early 1990s. Yes, that's right. It will be
worse."